amice logo


Climate Changing? Meuse Adapting!

News related to action

Saturday, may 15 2010

Publication in the review Natural Hazards of the methodology for risk analysis in Walloon region

The paper presents a consistent micro-scale flood risk analysis procedure, relying on detailed 2D inundation modelling as well as on high resolution topographic and land use database. The flow model is based on the shallow-water equations, solved b...

Tuesday, november 9 2010

Updates on WP1 actions

WP1 Partners have been meeting on November 9th in Maastricht. Action 6 : the hydraulic models had their first runs. Partners are comparing the water height values on the borders. Inconsistency appeared that need to be solved before launching the sec...

Thursday, november 25 2010

News from IWW

With climate evolution, changes in flood discharges are expected within the Meuse basin. The annual number of flood disasters increased considerably in the last decades and the price paid is constantly increasing. Within the AMICE project the work of...

Wednesday, april 6 2011

WP1 updates

WP1 Partners held a meeting on April 6th, 2011 in Aachen to discuss data and methods on the economical impact assessment of floods and low-flows resulting from climate change. The meeting report and presentations can be downloaded here....

Tuesday, may 31 2011

WP1 update: transnational damage functions agreed

Last WP1 meeting was held in Aachen on an, exceptionally, rainy day. Partners finally agreed on common damage functions for the flood impact assessment! First calculations can now start. Impacts from low-flows were also discussed, especially on ene...

Wednesday, august 24 2011

Action 6 finished - Action 8 starts !

WP1 activities started-up again right after the summer holidays ! The day agenda was really full because a lot is going on in WP1 this year : - Action 6 is now finished, the report and summaries will be published shortly - Action 7 has reached a n...

Friday, november 25 2011

WP1 meeting

Below are the documents from our last WP1 meeting : - first results are available for the impacts of low-flows on agriculture and for the impacts of floods - discussions are still going-on on the mapping of flood risks  ...

Tuesday, december 11 2012

Costs of climate-change-induced floods in 2050 and 2100

The goal of Action 7 within the AMICE project is the „Quantification of the impacts of future floods on the economy in the transnational Meuse basin“. In the present summaries and reports, the method for flood risk calculation is develope...

Monday, march 11 2013

Wonder how the activities along the Meuse could be influenced by climate change ?

Below you can read about the potential impacts of future low-flows on some activities along the Meuse and the Rur. The AMICE climate dry scenario has been used for this assessment. Four sectors have been considered : agriculture, energy production, d...

Attached documents

pdf EPIC-Grid


pdf Dutch approach

ppt Action7 methodology

ppt MIKE11

pdf 2. WP1 Meuse Symposium

doc meeting report

pdf Participants

pdf afternoon participants

doc meeting report

pdf Action 7 methodology

doc meeting report

pdf participants

pdf participants

pdf Flood damage calculation

pdf AMICE results 2

pdf Summary

pdf Samenvatting

pdf Aufstellung

pdf Résumé

pdf Low-flows summary

pdf étiages résumé

pdf Niedrigwasser

pdf lage debieten

pdf lowflowsimpacts_fullreport

Impacts of floods and low-flows

  • Quantification of the impacts of future floods and low-flows on the economy in the transnational Meuse basin.

The annual number of flood disasters increased considerably between 1973 & 2002 and the price paid is constantly increasing.

Impacts of low-flows should not be under-estimated either: cooling circuits of power plants are under threat (reduced production), energy consumption soars up, navigability is reduced, peat dykes collapse (especially if associated with summer storms), health problems increase...

The objective is to understand the vulnerability of economic systems to a modification of the hydrology (cf ADAPT project). It will be based on known damages caused by floods & low-flows, future trends in the above sectors & maps from the hydraulic modelling. It will be performed at various scales depending on the data available.

Considering the duration & budget of AMICE, the action will be limited to: navigation, agriculture, drinking water, energy.

Executing a full uncertainty analysis is outside the scope of AMICE but scenario evaluation based on robustness will be carried out.

Each country has its own rules for impact assessment. In the first place, discussions will be needed on how to produce comparable outputs.

Either we use the different methods (may be not comparable) or we set-up a new common method (limits: needs time and maybe not re-usable in national assessments).

The IMC has already produced an inventory of each country’s methods for mapping and calculating damages.

Damage categories (internal/external, direct/indirect) are quite easily understood for floods but an adjustment will be needed for damages associated to long-lasting low-flows.

Associated costs will be calculated and added-up for each scenario. It will result in a “cost of inaction” which is the cost of future floods and low-flows, in the case where no measures are taken.